KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA PADA SAAT PANDEMI COVID-19
Ari Mulianta Ginting
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Abstract
The covid-19 pandemic has experienced an increasing trend in cases globally. The increase of the Covid-19 pandemic also happened in Indonesia, which impacts all aspects of life, especially the economy. The increase in the Covid-19 pandemic impacts increasing poverty in almost all parts of the world, including Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative analysis with VAR analysis using monthly data. This study tries to analyze the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on poverty in Indonesia. This study found that the Covid-19 pandemic impacted Indonesia's shock of increasing poverty.Furthermore, based on variance decomposition, it was found that the Covid-19 variable heavily influenced the different fluctuations in the poverty variable in Indonesia. Based on this, it is time for the Government, both central and regional, to jointly overcome the main problem, namely the Covid-19 pandemic, to prevent the increasing poverty in Indonesia. However, at the same time, government policies are needed in social assistance, which must be immediately distributed to the community to prevent poverty in Indonesia.
Abstrak
Pandemi Covid-19 mengalami tren peningkatan jumlah kasus Covid-19 di dunia. Peningkatan kasus tersebut juga dialami oleh Indonesia. Peningkatan kasus Covid-19 tersebut memberikan dampak kepada seluruh aspek kehidupan khususnya perekonomian. Peningkatan pandemi Covid-19 berdampak terhadap peningkatan kemiskinan di hampir seluruh belahan dunia, termasuk Indonesia. Penelitian ini dengan menggunakan mix method dengan memadukan analisa kuantitatif dengan VAR dan analisa kualitatif dengan menggunakan data bulanan. Penelitian ini mencoba melakukan analisa terkait dampak pandemi Covid-19 terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia. Hasil penelitian ini menemukan bahwa pandemi Covid-19 berdampak terhadap shock meningkatkan kemiskinan di Indonesia. Lebih lanjut berdasarkan variance decomposition ditemukan bahwa fluktuasi deferen variabel kemiskinan di Indonesia banyak dipengaruhi oleh variabel Covid-19. Berdasarkan hal tersebut maka sudah waktunya pemerintah baik pusat maupun daerah untuk bersama-sama mengatasi persoalan utama yaitu pandemi Covid-19 untuk mencegah semakin meningkatnya kemiskinan di Indonesia. Namun pada saat yang bersamaan dibutuhkan keberpihakan kebijakan pemerintah dalam bentuk bantuan sosial yang harus segera disalurkan kepada masyarakat untuk mencegah keparahan kemiskinan di Indonesia.
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